The "Eleventh Five Year Plan" brings opportunities to energy, petroleum and chemical industry
the "Eleventh Five Year Plan" brings opportunities to energy, petroleum and chemical industry
October 13, 2006
the petroleum and chemical industry is an important foundation and pillar industry of the national economy, and plays an important role in the development of macro-economy. In the overall planning of the national economy made in the outline of the eleventh five year plan, it not only puts forward many clear goals for the development of the industry, but also puts forward specific requirements for independent innovation, industrial layout, structural adjustment, the implementation of circular economy and resource conservation and comprehensive utilization, environmental protection, energy substitution, safe production, hazardous chemicals management and the development of new fields, At the same time, it also creates broader development space and opportunities for the industry
I. agricultural chemicals during the "Eleventh Five Year Plan", the focus of the state's investment in infrastructure construction will shift to rural areas, which is a major change. Large scale agricultural infrastructure construction; New rural and farmers' housing construction; Rural industrialization caused by the transfer of labor-intensive industries to inland rural areas; The upgrading of farmers' consumption structure promotes the rapid expansion of the entire economic scale, and then drives the infrastructure construction between urban and rural areas and between regions; These construction projects are expected to be fully launched two years after the upgrading of key materials, and will become one of the important driving forces for the overall growth of the petroleum and chemical industry
1. Chemical fertilizer. Nitrogen fertilizer industry is mainly to improve the technical level, save energy and reduce consumption, and improve efficiency; On the one hand, the phosphate fertilizer industry will rely on enterprises with formed capacity to do a good job in transformation and expansion. On the other hand, the construction of phosphorus and sulfur mines will be strengthened, and the construction of phosphate and compound fertilizer bases in Yunnan and Guizhou will also be accelerated; The potash fertilizer industry mainly strives to improve the production capacity of domestic potash fertilizer, accelerate the construction of potash fertilizer bases in Qinghai and Xinjiang, actively seek cooperation with foreign countries, and use foreign resources to develop the potash fertilizer industry. The proportion of high concentration chemical fertilizer and compound fertilizer consumption is a major trend of chemical fertilizer development during the "Eleventh Five Year Plan" period. The key to the development of high concentration chemical fertilizer is to adjust the proportion of high concentration urea, eliminate part of the production capacity of ammonium bicarbonate, and large particle urea will be developed to meet the development needs of mixed fertilizer; The varieties of high concentration basic phosphate fertilizer and high content potassium fertilizer will be improved. The development of chlorine free potassium fertilizer such as potassium sulfate and potassium nitrate will be accelerated. New varieties will be developed appropriately, and chlorine free potassium fertilizer will basically meet domestic demand
2. Pesticides. The product structure of the pesticide industry will continue to be adjusted, the product grade will be gradually improved, and the development of new varieties will continue to be strengthened. The key points include the development of new varieties of high toxic organophosphorus pesticides and underground pest control agents, new fungicides and virus inhibitors for fruits and vegetables, nematicides, herbicides suitable for light-duty cultivation in water and new herbicides in dry land; Suspension agents, water emulsions, microemulsions, water dispersible granules, microcapsules and other new preparations with good environmental compatibility and convenient use will become the focus of development. A number of enterprises with poor product quality and unqualified environmental protection will be closed, forming a number of large enterprises with strong competitiveness and innovation ability
3. Agricultural film. With the development of facility agriculture in China, the grade of domestic agricultural film products will continue to improve. Specifically, compared with the ordinary agricultural film, it has strengthened the weeding effect. It is convenient to use, labor-saving, medicine saving, heat preservation, moisture preservation, light transmission, and can effectively solve the problem of weeding in the film. The perishable and degradable agricultural film that can solve the public hazard problem in the vast rural areas, the cold resistant and anti-aging agricultural film, and the colored agricultural film that has different absorption and refraction of light and different impact on all kinds of crops will be further promoted and applied
II. Petrochemical industry led by oil refining and ethylene
on January 11, 2006, the State Council meeting approved in principle the special plan for the medium and long-term development of oil refining and ethylene. The latest forecast shows that China's oil consumption will reach 328 million tons this year, ranking among the world's largest oil consumers. By 2020, China's demand for refined oil will be 2.3 times that of 2000 (about 500 million tons). In the next few years, the oil refining industry will focus on improving the concentration of enterprises, strengthening the perfect matching of oil refining capacity, optimizing the allocation of resources, improving the quality of oil products, eliminating a number of small oil refining units, and building imported crude oil processing bases; Increasing the total amount of ethylene, forming a number of world-class ethylene production bases, and accelerating the development of ethylene industry will be the highlight of the "Eleventh Five Year Plan" period. The state will also build several large-scale integrated oil refining and ethylene units in a planned way, increase the proportion of synthetic resin represented by polyolefin in the three major synthetic materials, and speed up the development of synthetic fiber raw materials and monomers to meet the growing domestic demand
1. Oil refining. Oil refining mainly focuses on structural adjustment, improving the concentration of oil refining enterprises, strengthening the perfect matching of oil refining capacity, optimizing the allocation of resources, improving the quality of oil products and improving the ratio of diesel to gasoline. A number of small oil refining units with backward technology will be eliminated, and several imported crude oil processing bases will be built. Adjust the structure of oil refining units and product mix, optimize crude oil varieties, improve the diesel steam ratio, increase the output of high value-added products and clean oil products, provide more advantageous raw materials for the ethylene industry as much as possible, and increase the production of high-grade road asphalt, high-quality lubricating oil, paraffin and other products. The state and enterprises will strengthen the construction of crude oil reserve capacity to avoid the risk of fluctuations in the international oil market on China's imported crude oil
2. Ethylene. While speeding up the completion of the second round of technological transformation of the existing large-scale ethylene plant in China, so that it has been greatly improved in terms of scale, technical level and energy conservation and consumption reduction, the construction progress of large-scale joint venture ethylene projects will be accelerated during the "Eleventh Five Year Plan" period. Polyethylene, polypropylene, polyvinyl chloride, polystyrene and ABS resins will all be rapidly developed varieties in the future. It is an inevitable trend for the development of synthetic resin to adjust the variety and brand of synthetic resin and increase the proportion of special resin so that the synthetic resin can be diversified, specialized and serialized. Due to the rapid development of textile, clothing and other related industries, large PTA, acrylonitrile and polyester plants will develop rapidly during the "Eleventh Five Year Plan" period, and a number of uncompetitive small polyester plants will withdraw from the market in the competition. The technical level of ethylene glycol, phenol, acetone, propylene oxide, acrylic acid and other organic raw materials with large gaps will be improved, and the production capacity will continue to expand. A number of large-scale devices will be built intensively to reduce production costs
third, alternative energy
as the international oil price continues to remain at a high price, and at the same time, China's sustained and rapid economic development has a huge demand for energy, both of which jointly promote the development and application of alternative energy. Specifically, it includes replacing oil with coal, replacing petrochemical industry with coal chemical industry, and the development of bioenergy and biodiesel
1. Coal chemical industry. The outline of the eleventh five year plan clearly points out that it is necessary to develop coal chemical industry, develop coal based liquid fuels, orderly promote the construction of coal liquefaction demonstration projects, promote the deep processing and transformation of coal, and develop large coal chemical complete sets of equipment, coal liquefaction and gasification, coal to olefin and other equipment, which will promote the coal chemical industry to enter the fast lane of standardized development. The development of China's chemical industry must be based on the basic national conditions of "lack of oil, less gas and rich coal". Especially in places with concentrated coal resources, relatively rich water resources and relatively convenient transportation, it is a rational choice to develop the chemical industry with coal as raw material. In the context of global resource constraints and rising oil prices, clean alternative energy sources such as coal to alcohol ether, methanol, dimethyl ether and DME will be highly valued due to their low cost and high degree of marketization. At present, relying on technological innovation, four coal liquefaction projects have been started and put into operation in Inner Mongolia during the Eleventh Five Year Plan period, forming a 20million ton refined oil production line. Almost every place with large-scale coal production in China is planning projects of "coal to oil", "coal to chemical industry" and "coal to electricity". According to the statistics of the Beijing chemical industry research branch of the General Academy of Coal Sciences and the Shanxi Institute of coal chemistry of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, the cost of gasoline and diesel produced by China's "coal to oil" technology can be controlled at about $20 to $25 per barrel
2. Bioenergy and biochemical industry. Using renewable resources to produce bioenergy and biochemical industry is the inevitable trend of economic development. At present, a historical mechanism for the development of bioenergy and biochemical industry has been formed. The development of thin films accounts for more than 40% of the total amount of plastic packaging materials. In recent years, bioenergy and biochemical industry with biomass as raw materials have sprung up, and this field will receive further attention. The replacement of other gasoline with ethanol gasoline for vehicles will be gradually realized. The production of citric acid from corn, the production of polyacrylamide by biological method, the production of new enzyme preparations in chemical products, new biodegradable polymer materials, new biological pesticides, etc. will also be better developed during the "Eleventh Five Year Plan" period. Biochemical technology can not only provide a large number of cheap chemical raw materials and products, but also replace the traditional processes of some chemical products with new processes with less pollution and low energy consumption. In the past five years, breakthroughs will be made in transforming the production technology of traditional fermentation products, improving the production technology level of fermentation products, developing bioreactors, improving the separation and purification technology of biochemical products in China, especially for Brinell hardness testing of large metal parts, and large-scale development of biochemical equipment. Hydrogen production from biomass will become a low-cost and competitive chemical raw material, which may be cheaper than hydrogen production from coal or oil. Biological ethylene production is likely to make breakthroughs and form a new industry
IV. fine chemicals and special chemicals
the rapid development of national key industries such as machinery, electronics, automobile, construction, information and related industries such as papermaking and food requires a wide variety of fine chemicals and special chemical products to match them. These industries will enter an accelerated period. In the next five years, new chemical materials, new high-grade coatings for automobiles, buildings and transportation, functional materials for electronic and information industries, adhesives, special chemicals and nano materials will become the main varieties of development; Functional coatings and water-based coatings, new varieties of dyes and their industrialization technology, green synthesis technology and new varieties of important chemical intermediates, electronic chemicals, feed additives, high-performance water treatment chemicals, papermaking chemicals, leather chemicals, oilfield chemicals, functional food additives, high-performance environmentally friendly flame retardants, high-performance rubber and plastic additives, etc., will become the focus of technology development and industrialization. To grasp these business opportunities, fine chemical industry should make breakthroughs in strengthening independent innovation, breaking through core catalytic technology, modern reaction engineering technology and fine chemical processing technology, and developing environment-friendly processes
v. circular economy
by 2010, the structure of the petroleum and chemical industry will be more reasonable, the proportion of high energy consuming industries will decline, the situation of environmental pollution will be improved, the quality of economic growth will be improved, and it will initially enter the track of circular economy. The energy consumption per 10000 yuan of GDP will be 15% - 20% lower than that in 2005, the water consumption per unit of industrial added value will be 30% lower than that in 2005, and the reuse rate of industrial water will reach more than 90%, The comprehensive utilization rate of industrial solid waste will reach more than 70%, and the total discharge of major pollutants will be reduced by 10%, and a number of industrial solid wastes that meet the requirements of circular economy development will be built
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